"If you Don't Stand  for something , you'll fall for anything"

   

Now some fresh pickings from the Political Grapevine: 

The Grapevine"

What Are Economic Cycles?

Wednesday, August 05, 2009, 10:25:16 AM | Survivor UGo to full article
Long-term economic cycles are the result of collective human behavior, mass psychology if you will.

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What is a Bubble?

Monday, July 06, 2009, 9:29:09 AM | Survivor UGo to full article

A bubble is a rapid expansion in the economy due to a perceived game-changing shift in the fundamental way of doing business. As a result of the shift, stock prices increase rapidly.

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What is Stagflation?

Monday, July 06, 2009, 9:27:47 AM | Survivor UGo to full article

Stagflation has the characteristics of a recession, slow economic growth and high unemployment however it is also accompanied with raising prices and inflation.

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What is a Depression?

Monday, July 06, 2009, 9:27:10 AM | Survivor UGo to full article

A depression is an extreme form of a recession in its severity as well as its length.

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What is a Recession?

Monday, July 06, 2009, 9:25:33 AM | Survivor UGo to full article

A recession is generally described as a slowdown of economic growth over at least two quarters.

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What is Bankruptcy?

Thursday, March 26, 2009, 1:40:39 PM | Survivor UGo to full article
Bankruptcy is a legal declaration by an organization or an individual of the inability to ability to pay creditors.

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Nationalization

Thursday, March 26, 2009, 1:38:51 PM | Survivor UGo to full article
Nationalization refers to a public entity, usually a federal government, acquiring private assets of a company.

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What is Hyperinflation?

Wednesday, March 18, 2009, 12:46:46 PM | Survivor UGo to full article
Hyperinflation refers to out of control or extremely rapid inflation, where prices increase so quickly the concept of real inflation is meaningless.

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What is Deflation?

Monday, March 16, 2009, 1:27:55 PM | Survivor UGo to full article
Deflation refers to a general dropping of prices for goods and services in an economy (the opposite of inflation), due to a decr

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What is Inflation?

Monday, March 16, 2009, 1:26:56 PM | Survivor UGo to full article
Inflation refers to the general rising of prices for goods and services in the economy, due to an increase in the amount of money and/or credit available.

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Thursday, February 26, 2009
Face It: Moral Hazard Is Dead
Howard Gold, Executive Editor, MoneyShow.com

Over the past weeks, as the Obama administration has rolled out plans to spend hundreds of billions of dollars to bail out homeowners, banks, and the economy, the issue of "moral hazard" has emerged front and center.

Moral hazard, according to Economist.com, means that "people with insurance may take greater risks than they would without it because they know they are protected."

The issue has applied primarily to banks and Wall Street firms that made reckless bets with shareholders' money and are now getting taxpayer funds to stay afloat.

But recently a former pit trader vented on television that the proposed $275-billion mortgage rescue package would reward "losers" at the expense of people who made their payments every month.

The merits of that claim aside, the whole discussion prompted me to wonder whether that's even the most relevant question anymore.

Because the idea that you pay a price if you screw up has disappeared in many areas of our society. There is, simply, no "hazard" anymore for many people who fail or break the rules.

Let's start with the worst: Wall Street. For 20 years, the Street has been plagued by one scandal after another.

Remember Drexel Burnham Lambert's promotion of the junk bond market in the 1980s? The mastermind behind that, Michael Milken, did go to prison and was banned from the securities business for life. But many others who worked there went on to bigger things: money management, private equity, even the derivatives business at AIG, which has become a continuing albatross for taxpayers.

Then there was Salomon Brothers' attempt to manipulate the Treasury bond market and a subsequent cover-up that cost the job of chief executive officer John Gutfreund. Salomon was saved from extinction only after big shareholder Warren Buffett agreed to become chairman.

The 1990s brought the dot.com mania, under which analysts like Henry Blodget touted terrible Internet stocks to retail investors to grease the wheels of investment banking's fee machine. Also, major banks helped fraud factories like Enron and WorldCom raise money and had to pay out billions of dollars in legal settlements.

The reforms in the early part of this decade helped fix those problems, but Wall Street made even bigger bets, claimed even greater rewards, and created an even-bigger catastrophe, which may take a decade or more to resolve.

Not too many top corporate executives have been penalized for failure, either. Most notoriously, Bob Nardelli took home more than $200 million after being booted as chief executive officer of Home Depot (NYSE: HD), and Hank McKinnell got almost the same after running Pfizer's (NYSE: PFE) stock into the ground. Stanley O'Neal, who pushed Merrill Lynch into far more risk taking than it could handle, left with over $160 million. (And while we're on the subject of Merrill, how about those cronies of former CEO John Thain who walked away with tens of millions of dollars for several months of great work as the firm lost $27.6 billion last year?)

There are many, many more examples. Shareholders have gotten more vigilant of late, and that's a good thing, but the damage to moral hazard has been done.

This goes beyond business, too.

How about politics? Remember the Clinton Administration? Remember Whitewater, Monica Lewinsky, impeachment and perjury charges, allowing big donors to sleep in the Lincoln bedroom, and the notorious Marc Rich pardon?

And the Republicans are no slouches in this area, either: Jack Abramoff, Bob Ney, Mark Foley, Sen. Ted Stevens, and the billions of dollars awarded in no-bid contracts in Iraq and Afghanistan all show that no party has a monopoly on vice or virtue.

And despite many arrests, convictions, and resignations, politicians continue to push the envelope. Their main rule: don't get caught.

As for the sports world, I have two words for you: Alex Rodriguez. If you want a few more, how about Barry Bonds, Mark McGwire, Roger Clemens, or Jason Giambi? Their alleged or admitted links to steroids and other performance-enhancing drugs has tainted an entire era of baseball history.

"Everybody has lost the presumption of innocence," Tony Kornheiser said on ESPN last weekend. "At least give people some reason to believe cheating doesn't pay."

The National Football League has toughened its suspension policy since over 300 arrests of NFL players this decade. Yet players return after suspensions or even doing hard time. Adam "Pacman" Jones got another shot with the Dallas Cowboys after a one-year suspension. Even Michael Vick, who gets out of prison this year following convictions for running a dog-fighting ring, has gotten interest from two teams

Hey, if OJ could still run, somebody would try to sign him up, too.

The mantra, of course, goes back to Oakland Raiders owner Al Davis: "Just win, baby."

Or make money, as in the entertainment world. Who can count the number of stars who go to rehab as often as they go to the gym and get second, third, or fourth chances, like Britney Spears or Robert Downey, Jr.? Or rappers like Lil Wayne, 50 Cent, and R. Kelly, for whom courtroom appearances are as routine as signing autographs?

My point is, there's been a huge breakdown in ethics in all areas of American life, and short-term gain has become the be-all and end-all for far too many. Yes, there are tens of millions of us—probably the majority—who work hard, plan for the future, and teach our children to live good lives, but it's not easy amid the corruption that pervades our society.

So, how do we stop it?

Well, actually early this decade we had a wave of corporate crime ranging from Enron, WorldCom, and Tyco International to the options backdating scandal. A little-noticed group, the President's Corporate Fraud Task Force, secured more than 1,200 convictions, including that of 214 CEOs in the five years from 2002 to 2007. That and the much-maligned Sarbanes-Oxley Act helped clean up corporate America-outside of Wall Street, of course.

I expect that to change soon when the Federal Bureau of Investigation completes its criminal investigation of the mortgage mess, which reportedly covers senior executives at 26 major firms involved in issuing and selling subprime mortgages.

I hope individuals who submitted fraudulent information to help them obtain mortgages they couldn't afford get prosecuted, too.

But if we're really serious about restoring moral hazard, we'll have to start at the top.

Howard R. Gold is executive editor of MoneyShow.com. The opinions expressed here are his own.

How To Calculate Your Net Worth

By Erin Huffstetler, About.com

Do you know what your net worth is? If not, now is the time to find out. Why? Because your net worth can tell you a lot about your current financial health, and help you to plan for your financial future--now, that's frugal and smart.

How is Net Worth Calculated?

Net Worth is calculated by subtracting your liabilities (debts) from your assets. Depending on your finances, the resulting figure can be positive (desirable) or negative (not so desirable). Which will it be for you? Follow the steps below to find out.

 

Difficulty: Average
Time Required: 1 hour

Here's How:

  1. Print out a copy of the Net Worth Worksheet.

     

  2. Use the left-hand column to list all of your assets. This includes:

     

    • cash, money held in bank accounts, money market accounts or Certificates of Deposit (CDs)
    • personal property, including homes, cars, boats and recreational vehicles, furniture, art, antiques, collectibles and jewelry
    • investments, including stocks, bonds, mutual funds, annuities, the cash value of any life insurance policies and real estate
    • retirement savings, including employee pension plans, 401(k) or 403(b) accounts and IRAs

     

  3. Then, assign a value to each asset. This should be the estimated resale value of the asset, not what you paid for the item.

     

  4. Total the value of your assets, and write the resulting figure at the bottom of the left-hand column.

     

  5. Use the right-hand column to list all of your liabilities (debts). This includes: mortgages, home equity loans, car loans, credit cards, bank loans, student loans, personal loans from friends and family, cash advances, medical bills, taxes owed, alimony/child support owed and any other debts that you might have.

     

  6. Total your liabilities, and write the resulting figure in the "Total Liabilities" field, near the bottom of the right-hand column.

     

  7. Subtract your total liabilities from your total assets. The resulting figure is your current net worth. If the number is positive, you're on the right track. Keep squeezing those pennies and building wealth. If your number is negative, all is not lost. Check out the following resources, to get your finances back on track:

     

Tips:

  1. Use antique and collectible books to assess the value of your collections. Use Kelley Blue Book to determine the value of your vehicles.
  2. Update your net worth yearly or whenever there is a major change to your finances.

 

"Subject: FW: : Thank you Australia

Written by an Australian Dentist....and too good to delete....

To Kill an American You probably missed this in the rush of news, but there was actually a report that someone in Pakistan had published in a newspaper, an offer of a reward to anyone who killed an American, any American .So an Australian dentist wrote an editorial the following day to let everyone know what an American is . So they would know when they found one. (Good one, mate!!!!)
"An American is English, or French, or Italian, Irish, German, Spanish, Polish, Russian or Greek. An American may also be Canadian, Mexican, African, Indian, Chinese, Japanese, Korean, Australian, Iranian, Asian, or Arab, or Pakistani or Afghan .An American may also be a Comanche, Cherokee, Osage, Blackfoot, Navaho, Apache, Seminole or one of the many other tribes known as native Americans .An American is Christian, or he could be Jewish, or Buddhist, or Muslim. In fact, there are more Muslims in America than in Afghanistan . The only difference is that in America they are free to worship as each of them chooses. An American is also free to believe in no religion. For that he will answer only to God, not to the government, or to armed thugs claiming to speak for the government and for God.
An American lives in the most prosperous land in the history of the world. The root of that prosperity can be found in the Declaration of Independence , which recognizes the God given right of each person to the pursuit of happiness .An American is generous. Americans have helped out just about every other nation in the world in their time of need, never asking a thing in return .When Afghanistan was over-run by the Soviet army 20 years ago, Americans came with arms and supplies to enable the people to win back their country !As of the morning of September 11, Americans had given more than any other nation to the poor in Afghanistan . Americans welcome the best of everything...the best products, the best books, the best music, the best food, the best services. But they also welcome the least .The national symbol of America , The Statue of Liberty , welcomes your tired and your poor, the wretched refuse of your teeming shores, the homeless, tempest tossed. These in fact are the people who built America .Some of them were working in the Twin Towers the morning of September 11, 2001 earning a better life for their families. It's been told that the World Trade Center victims were from at least 30 different countries, cultures, and first languages, including those that aided and abetted the terrorists.So you can try to kill an American if you must. Hitler did. So did General Tojo, and Stalin, and Mao Tse-Tung, and other blood-thirsty tyrants in the world. But, in doing so you would just be killing yourself . Because Americans are not a particular people from a particular place. They are the embodiment of the human spirit of freedom. Everyone who holds to that spirit, everywhere, is an American.
 

Global Warming Skeptics Advance, Says Inhofe


By Katherine Poythress
CNSNews.com Correspondent
August 03, 2007

(Correction: Fixes year Kyoto protocol was implemented in 13th paragraph.)

(CNSNews.com) - Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.), ranking member on the Environment and Public Works Committee (EPW), told approximately 400 conservative students Thursday morning that despite attempts to silence global warming critics, the ground of the climate change debate is starting to shift their way, giving their views more exposure and effect.

In his speech at the 29th National Conservative Student Conference in Washington , D.C. , sponsored by the Young America's Foundation, Inhofe accused liberals of trying to silence the dissenting voices.

He then named a host of scientists from around the world who are critical of global warming, including MIT's professor of meteorology Richard Lindzen who calls the fear of man-made global warming "silly."

Referring to the most recent global warming report released by the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, EPW Communications Director Marc Morano told Cybercast News Service, "There are 2,000 scientists affiliated with the U.N., and only 52 wrote the last summary for policymakers. Of those 2,000, they include prominent skeptics [of global warming] like Richard Lindzen and Pat Michaels."

Inhofe also referred to a letter 60 prominent scientists sent to Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper in 2006, in which they claimed the Kyoto Protocol of the 1990s was a regulatory measure written out of ignorance and which is now unnecessary based on modern scientific discoveries.

After his speech, Inhofe spoke with reporters about his criticism of the Environmental Protection Agency's membership in the American Council on Renewable Energy (ACORE), which reportedly has engaged in blackmail and threats to advance its agenda and silence global warming critics.

Specifically, Inhofe cited an e-mail sent by ACORE President Martin Eckhart to the prominent global warming critic Marlo Lewis, a senior fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute in Washington , D.C.

In the e-mail, Eckhart vowed to Lewis: "It is my intention to destroy your career as a liar. If you produce one more editorial against climate change, I will launch a campaign against your professional integrity. I will call you a liar and charlatan to the Harvard community of which you and I are members. I will call you out as a man who has been bought by Corporate America."

Inhofe said he has written four letters challenging the EPA, Department of Energy, Department of Agriculture, and Department of Commerce to withdraw their memberships from ACORE.

"With anyone who is threatening like that, something has to be done," said Inhofe. "If you don't have the truth, if you don't have logic, if you don't have science, you call names and you threaten."

EPA Director Stephen Johnson reportedly is looking into the matter, but Inhofe said he does not yet know the extent of Johnson's actions.

Inhofe admitted his stance on global warming is unpopular, even with some in his own party. And he himself used to tow the global warming line until a few years ago, he said, when he began researching the Kyoto Protocol and its potential economic effects.

The $300 billion tax needed to implement the treaty in 1997 would have been the largest tax increase in two decades, Inhofe said.

In his research, Inhofe discovered there were many scientists who criticized the entire premise on which the Kyoto Protocol was based.

"We're going through a warming period," Inhofe said, adding that the Earth's atmosphere is dynamic and has undergone many recorded changes in the past.

He said he has seen too many scientists disagree with the claims that man-induced CO2 emissions are primarily responsible for the phenomenon and that the results are going to be catastrophic.

Inhofe attributed what he calls the "myth" of global warming to an ulterior power-driven motive, described by former European Union Environment Minister Margo Wallstrom. She asserted that " Kyoto is about the economy, about leveling the playing field for big business worldwide," said Inhofe.

Daniel Lashof, science director of the Natural Resources Defense Council's Climate Center , told Cybercast News Service he suspects that quotation was taken out of context.

"That should be a goal of climate policy," Lashof said. "It needs to harness market forces to drive down pollution that causes global warming."

Lashof said he has no doubt there are many scientists who support some of Inhofe's argument about global warming.

But "there are no credible scientists who would support the overall conclusion that Sen. Inhofe is propounding," said Lashof. "He tends to suggest that [climate change] is not about the environment. I think that is a misinterpretation."

Lashof said he suspects Inhofe's harsh criticism of the apparent global warming problem is driven by an aversion to adopting the policies that would be necessary to solve the problem.
BBC NEWS

'$100 laptop' production begins

By Jonathan Fildes
Science and technology reporter, BBC News

Five years after the concept was first proposed, the so-called $100 laptop is poised to go into mass production.

Hardware suppliers have been given the green light to ramp-up production of all of the components needed to build millions of the low-cost machines.

Previously, the organization behind the scheme said that it required orders for 3m laptops to make production viable.

The first machines should be ready to put into the hands of children in developing countries in October 2007.

"There's still some software to write, but this is a big step for us," Walter Bender, head of software development at One Laptop per Child (OLPC), told the BBC News website.

The organization has not said which countries have bought the first machines.

Silencing critics

Getting the $100 laptop to this stage has been a turbulent journey for the organization and its founder Nicholas Negroponte.

Since the idea was first put forward in 2002, the low-cost laptop has been both lauded and ridiculed.

Intel chairman Craig Barret famously described it as a "$100 gadget" whilst Microsoft founder Bill Gates questioned its design, particularly the lack of hard drive and its "tiny screen".

Other critics asked whether there was a need for a laptop in countries which, they said, had more pressing needs such as sanitation, water and health care.

Professor Negroponte's response has always been the same: "It's an education project, not a laptop project."

 



The view was shared by Kofi Annan, ex-secretary General of the UN. In 2005, he described the laptop as an "expression of global solidarity" that would "open up new fronts" for children's education.

And as time passed, even some of the critics have changed their stance. Earlier this month, Intel, which manufactures what was considered a rival machine, the Classmate PC, joined forces with OLPC.

Functional design

The innovative design of the XO machine has also drawn praise from the technical community.

Using open source software, OLPC have developed a stripped-down operating system which fits comfortably on the machine's 1GB of memory.

"We made a set of trade-offs which may not be an office worker's needs but are more than adequate for what kids need for learning, exploring and having fun," said Professor Bender.

The XO is built to cope with the harsh and remote conditions found in areas where it may be used, such as the deserts of Libya or the mountains of Peru .

 

Professor Negroponte first proposed the laptop in 2002

For example, it has a rugged, waterproof case and is as energy efficient as possible.

"The laptop needs an order of magnitude less power than a typical laptop," said Professor Bender. "That means you can power it by solar or human power."

Governments that sign up for the scheme can purchase solar, foot-pump or pull-string powered chargers for the laptop.

And because it may be used in villages without access to a classroom, it has also been designed to work outside. In particular, the green and white machines feature a sunlight-readable display.

"For a lot of these children it's their only book and we want them to have a first class reading experience," said Professor Bender.

Name drop

The XO will be produced in Taiwan by Quanta, the world's largest laptop manufacturer.

The final design will bring together more than 800 parts from multiple suppliers such as chip-maker AMD, which supplies the low-power processor at the heart of the machine.

"This is the moment we have all been waiting for," Gustavo Arenas of AMD told the BBC News website.

"We certainly believe very strongly in the mission and vision of OLPC so finally starting to see it come to fruition is not only gratifying, it is also rewarding."

Test machines, on which the final design is based, are currently being put through their paces by OLPC.

"We keep laptops in the oven at 50 degrees and they keep on running," said Professor Bender.

Field testing is also being done in countries such as Nigeria and Brazil .

However, the names of the governments that have purchased the first lots of machines have not been released.

The XO currently costs $176 (£90) although the eventual aim is to sell the machines to governments for $100 (£50).

Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/technology/6908946.stm

Published: 2007/07/22 23:09:42 GMT

© BBC MMVII

 

From the pages of Design News
Hydraulic Powertrains Propel These Hybrid Trucks

With gas prices reaching record highs recently, consumers have already endured pain at the pumps, but it’s really just a twinge compared to the pain operators of heavy-duty vehicle fleets feel. The trucks that deliver our packages and haul our garbage have a couple of strikes against them from a fuel-economy standpoint. Weight is the big one. Fully loaded heavy-duty vehicles cover a weight range from 14,000 to more than 70,000 lb And on top of the weight, many of these vehicles have a fuel-burning duty cycle that requires continuous starts and stops. So it should come as no surprise to anyone that some of the biggest operators of these truck fleets have jumped on the hybrid vehicle bandwagon. Both Federal Express and UPS have added several dozen hybrid electric vehicles to their fleets over the past two years, both using a hybrid powertrain supplied by Eaton Corp. Waste Management, the nation’s largest waste hauler, is likewise evaluating a variety of hybrid vehicle solutions for its refuse trucks, according to Lynn Brown, a company spokesperson.

What may be surprising, though, is the kind of hybrid systems fleet operators like Fed Ex, UPS and Waste Management are considering for some of their heaviest vehicles. These hybrids don’t use the electric motors, batteries and wires the way the Toyota Prius does. They instead propel the vehicle with a combination of hydraulic pump-motors, high-pressure fluid lines and accumulators.

The most radical – and fuel efficient – versions of these hydraulic hybrids eliminate the traditional mechanical drivetrain altogether. In the vehicles, diesel engines drive a hydraulic pump-motor, which in turn charges a high-pressure accumulator. That accumulator drives a bent-axis pump-motor on the rear wheels to propel the vehicle. A low-pressure reservoir completes the hydraulic circuit, collecting the fluid before sending it back to the first pump-motor.

Like electric hybrids, hydraulic hybrids also provide regenerative braking capabilities. During braking events, of which there are many in a delivery vehicle or refuse truck, the pump-motor charges the high-pressure accumulator. The energy stored in the accumulator can be used to reduce the load on the diesel engine when the truck moves forward again. Or that energy could also allow limited bursts of engine-off propulsion — for example, when operating a truck indoors.

To consumers and even some engineers, hydraulics may seem like outmoded technology in an increasingly electronic world. Yet hydraulic pump-motors and accumulators can provide a low-cost, reliable way to apply torque and store energy — which is exactly what hybrid vehicles require. And hydraulics offer a significant power-density advantage over electrical systems, at least for now. “It looks like hydraulics will make a lot of sense, at least for the heavy end of the heavy-duty truck spectrum,” says John DeCicco, a Ph.D. mechanical engineer who is a senior automotive strategies fellow for Environmental Defense.

Hydraulic Propulsion Styles

Hydraulic hybrid systems currently come in three main variants, all of which can still be considered developmental. Researchers at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s Office of Transportation and Air Quality (OTAQ) have developed a hybrid in conjunction with Eaton Corp., the Southwest Research Institute (SwRI) and other partners. Since June 2006, this system has been under evaluation on a UPS delivery truck in Detroit. The EPA has also worked on aspects of hydraulic hybrid design with Parker Hannifin under a separate cooperative research and development agreement.

Both Eaton Corp. and Parker Hannifin also developed their own proprietary hydraulic hybrid systems. Eaton’s is a parallel system that uses the hydraulics for launch assist but still gets most of its propulsive power from a mechanical drive train. Over the last year and a half, Parker Hannifin has developed a new hydraulic hybrid design with some duty-cycle input from Waste Management. Joe Kovach, a Ph.D. mechanical engineer and Parker Hannifin’s vice president for innovation in the hydraulics division, says his company will build prototype refuse trucks that incorporate this new hydraulic hybrid system later this year. Similar systems for larger delivery trucks are also in the works.

All of the different systems promise significant gains in fuel economy and emissions reductions. The biggest gains, though, will likely come from full-series hybrids — or those that don’t rely on a mechanical drive train. According to John Kargul, OTAQ’s director of technology transfer, the EPA estimates parallel hybrids will produce fuel economy improvements in the 20 to 40 percent range. The agency’s modeling of full-series hybrids predicts they’ll offer a fuel economy boost of 40 to 80 percent.

In the case of the UPS truck, the EPA’s modeling and dyno testing predict 60 to 70 percent more mpg than a similarly sized vehicle with a conventional drive train, Kargul says. The EPA just started to analyze the fuel economy data from the UPS truck’s real-world performance on the streets of Detroit. Kargul says it’s too early to release the results publicly but adds, “UPS has been very happy with the early data.”

Parker’s estimates, meanwhile, place the potential fuel economy improvements associated with hydraulic hybrid drive trains at 30 to 70 percent, depending on the vehicle’s duty cycle, the specifics of the drive train design and the engine management strategies.

The main difference between EPA’s UPS truck and Parker’s in-house hybrid design comes down to the use of a secondary mechanical direct drive system for the real wheels under certain driving conditions. In the EPA’s full-series hybrid, only the hydraulic system connects the diesel engine and rear wheels. So all of the propulsion comes from the hydraulic system at all times. Parker, by contrast, augments the hydraulic drive train with a mechanical direct drive system that connects the engine to the rear wheels during highway driving, meaning steady state speeds about 50 mph or so.

“We’ve built hybrid systems both ways — with and without the driveshaft,” Kovach says. In fact, Parker, over the years, has been involved in the full spectrum of hydraulic hybrids. One of its European divisions has supplied parallel hybrid systems that provide hydraulic launch assist, but get most of their propulsive power from a conventional drive train. “We still have about 20 buses using a system like this,” he says. And in 1991, Parker helped develop a refuse truck that was a pure series hydraulic with no mechanical drive train.

Why put a secondary mechanical drive on this latest hybrid system? Kovach acknowledges the direct drive components add some complexity — in terms of mechanical components and controls — that would be avoided by a pure series hybrid design. But he argues the direct drive system offers far more efficiency during highway driving — more than enough to offset the complexity penalty.

Glenn Wendel, a principal engineer at the SwRI, which helped develop parts of the EPA system, estimates some hydraulic hybrid systems can see their efficiency dip as low as 75 percent during highway driving, far less than the 90-plus percent efficiencies they get during city driving. A traditional geared transmission and drive train would also offer efficiencies upwards of 90 percent on the highway. “That’s why you won’t see hydraulic hybrid passenger cars or 18-wheelers,” Wendel says.

The EPA has opted to offset the efficiency loss during highway driving differently than Parker. “We’ve redesigned the pump-motors to get more efficiency than we could with an off-the-shelf model,” Kargul says. For example, EPA researchers created a pump-motor design with higher displacement angles than most off-the-shelf bent-axis pump-motors — the type used to drive the rear wheels. “Our pumps displacement angles in the 45-50 percent range in the same package size as off-the-shelf pumps with displacement angles in the 20 to 25 percent range,” says Kargul, noting bent-axis pump-motors run most efficiently with higher displacements.

So which of these two series hybrid strategies will win out? “It’s really too early to tell,” says Wendel.

Why Hydraulics Make Sense

Yet, if ever there was a time for hydraulic hybrids, it is now. “The stars have finally aligned,” says Kovach. One reason is high fuel costs. Parker’s cost analysis of hydraulic hybrids systems suggests they offer a two-to-three year return-on-investment standpoint when fuel prices exceed $2/gallon. And because they use a proven, low-cost technology, some observers believe hydraulic hybrids are expected to be relatively inexpensive compared to electric hybrid for heavy-duty trucks. Kargul cites an incremental cost target of $7,000 for its hybrid power train at production volumes.

The capabilities of the hydraulic components have also gotten better in recent years. The bent-axis pump-motors used in these systems have become smaller and more efficient over the years. Kargul says he can hold the pump-motor barrel from the UPS demo in one hand, yet it delivers 300 HP from a fully charged accumulator and about 150 HP with the accumulator empty.

And an even more important change involves the accumulators used in these high-pressure hydraulic systems. Kovach recalls when Parker dipped its toe into hydraulic hybrid design in 1991, the metal accumulators for a refuse truck weighed 3,000 lb. “Now we’re using the space-age composites used on planes and our accumulators weigh only 300-400 lb,” he says.

The SwRI has also been focusing on carbon-fiber-reinforced composite accumulators and its engineers designed the accumulators used for the EPA vehicle. Wendel says, “in general, the weight of a composite accumulator is two-and-a-half times less than a conventional steel bladder-type accumulator and something more like 10-times less than a piston accumulator.”

Aside from the cost and weight of the system itself, though, hydraulics have something else going for them — power density. “Nothing out there beats hydraulics when it comes to power density,” says Kovach, who explains high-pressure accumulators and pump motors have at least 10 times the power density of batteries and electric motors. Ultra capacitors, in theory, can get pretty close from a power density standpoint. “But they’re still way too expensive in these applications,” says Kovach, who estimates an ultra capacitor of the size needed for these heavy-duty vehicles would cost around 50 times as much as an accumulator that does the same or better job. (See chart for power density and cost data).

Hydraulics suppliers also have an easy route to bumping up their power density — by increasing system pressures. The EPA’s demo for UPS runs at 5,000 psi, mostly because the engineers who built it couldn’t at the time find fluid line connectors rated for higher pressures. “We’ve since found higher pressure connectors and the pump-motors are designed for pressures up to 7,000 psi,” says Kargul. Consequently, the EPA’s next generation urban delivery van may run at that higher pressure. And since power density scales with operating pressures in these systems, that same pump-motor Kargul holds in his hand goes from 330 HP to 510 HP.

Kovach makes the same point and says Parker could boost system pressures — and thus, power density — by two or even three times using existing hydraulics technology. “We already have systems running on America’s Cup boats at 12,000 psi,” he says.

All that power density comes in handy in quickly generating the torque needed to overcome the high inertial loads associated with propelling a massive truck. “Batteries have better energy density, but they can’t get that energy in and out fast enough for the stop-and-go applications where hydraulic hybrids make sense,” Kovach says.

Hydraulic Hybrid Applications

Identifying those applications can still be a bit tricky. In general terms, though, the advocates of hydraulic technology are pushing it for applications where the truck is both massive and prone to frequent starts and stops.

In terms of vehicle weight ratings, the EPA deems hydraulic hybrids suitable for Class 3 work trucks right up to the heaviest Class 8 trucks, based on the fuel economy gains and costs it has measured in its test vehicles. Parker’s Kovach believes the hydraulics start to shine at Class 5 and up. “Class 3 and 4 may be better served by electric hybrids. Class 5 could go either electric or hydraulic,” says Kovach. “But in Class 6, 7 and 8 with starts and stops, no technology will come close to hydraulics for a long time.”

But there’s more to duty cycle than the frequency of the stops. Jeff Carpenter, chief engineer for Eaton Corp.’s hybrid power systems group, points out the distance between stops as another duty cycle factor that can favor one type of hybrid over another. “What’s the distance between stops? If it’s short and the vehicle is heavy, hydraulics may make sense. It’s, say 1,000 yards or more, maybe electric storage makes more sense,” Carpenter says. Put differently, he argues some trucks will get the maximum benefit from the power density advantage provided by hydraulics while others will get more benefit from the superior energy storage offered by batteries. “Both hydraulic and electric systems have advantages and disadvantages that depend on how the customer will use the vehicle,” he says.

It’s likewise difficult to determine which type of hybrid has the efficiency edge. Carpenter points out, electric and hydraulic hybrids can both achieve overall efficiencies over 90 percent — when used in the right kind of duty cycles. “They may be a percentage point or two difference but nothing too significant,” he says.

But how they derive that efficiency can help determine the best fit for each technology. Kargul maintains hydraulic hybrids are much more efficient at recovering braking energy. He says a hydraulic hybrid with a properly sized accumulator ends up returning about 70 percent of the braking energy to the wheels while a typical electric hybrid returns something around 21 percent. The reason, he says, has to do with the time it takes to charge today’s batteries. Kargul says the energy from a truck’s braking would cause even a modern lithium ion battery to exceed its charging limits, so the batteries only recover what they can handle. With more batteries, a hybrid could accept as much energy as the hydraulic systems. “But then you have weight, cost and packaging issues. Designing hybrids involves a compromise between how much regen energy you want to recapture versus these other factors,” he says.

Making the choice between electric and hydraulic systems even less clear cut is the fact both already overlap within a given duty cycles and weight class. Consider that Eaton’s own hybrid electric power trains and the demo hydraulic power train it built with the EPA go into UPS vehicles that overlap in terms of weight and duty cycle. Carpenter points out, however, the electric version is fully commercial and now in it’s second generation. UPS now has 50 of them in the 16,000 to 24,000 lb range. The hydraulic version remains a demo, though a promising one.

The choice probably won’t become clear for some time. “The verdict is still out,” says Kargul. With only 150 Class 6 electric hybrids and one similarly sized hydraulic hybrid on the road, there isn’t enough data, in Kargul’s view, to get a sense of which technology will be the most cost efficient. “The bottom line is that the big fleet owners will continue to look at any hybrid technologies that can significantly lower their cost,” Kargul says. “You’re seeing that right now at both UPS and at FedEx.”

Over the long haul, though, even advocates of the hydraulic hybrids believe electric systems may prevail. Environmental Defense’s DeCicco argues electric propulsion will at some point become so common it’s adoption will become inevitable for commercial, rather than purely technical, reasons. “The competition between hydraulic and electric hybrids in some ways start to look like the competition between BetaMax and VHS,” he says.

And Kovach, who develops fluid power technology for a living, doesn’t think hydraulic hybrids will be the best choice for heavy-duty trucks forever. “Ultracapacitors will get better,” he says. “At some point, they may offer a more cost-effective solution than hydraulics. But that won’t happen for a long time, especially since we can continue to increase our pressures and power densities. Hydraulics can help us save lots of fuel today without the need for any new technology.”

 
UPS has been testing a hydraulic hybrid version of a Class 6 delivery vehicle in Michigan for the past year. The company has also put 50 hybrid electric delivery vehicles into service.
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   © 2007, Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Land of The Free

Letter to the Editor,

Thought the attached is a perfect example of what we should be thinking and teaching today with my heartfelt thanks to Martha Cothren ( Robinson High School of Little Rock ) which I would like to share with you:

Classroom Desks,

Back in September of 2005, on the first day of school, Martha Cothren, a social studies teacher at Robinson High School in Little Rock, did something not to be forgotten. On the first day of school with permission of the school superintendent, the principle and the building supervisor, she took all the desks out of the classroom.

The kids came into first period, they walked in, there were no desks. They obviously looked around and said. "Mrs. Cothren, where's our desk?" And she said, "you can't have a desk until you tell me how to earn them."

They thought, "Well, maybe it's our grades."

"No," she, said.

"Maybe it's our behavior."

And she told them, "No, it's not even your behavior."

And so they came and went in the first period, still no desks in the classroom. Second period, same thing, third period. By early afternoon television news crews had gathered in Mrs. Cothren's class to find out about this crazy teacher who had taken all the desks out of the classroom. The last period of the day, Martha Cothren gathered her class. They were at this time sitting on the floor around the sides of the room. And she says, " Throughout the day no one has really understood how to earn the desks that sit in this classroom ordinarily." She said, "Now I'm going to tell you."

Martha Cothren went over to the door of her classroom and opened it, and as she did 27 U.S. veterans, wearing their uniforms, walked into that classroom each one caring a school desk. And they placed those school desks in rows and then they stood along the wall. And by the time they had finished placing those desks, those kids for the first time perhaps in their lives understood how they earned those desks.

Martha said, "You don't have to earn those desks. These guys did it for you. They put them out there for you, but it's up to you to sit here responsibly to learn, to be good students and good citizens, because they paid a price for you to have that desk, and don't ever forget it."

My friend, I think sometimes we forget that freedoms that we have are freedoms not because of celebrities. The freedoms are because of ordinary people who did extraordinary things, who loved this country more than life itself, and who not only earned a school desk for a kid at the Robinson High School in Little Rock, but who earned a seat for you and me to enjoy this great land we call home, this wonderful nation that we better love enough to protect and preserve with the kind of conservative, solid values and principals that made us a great nation.

"We live in the Land of the Free because of the brave."

Remember our troops....and remember to pray for our troops!

                                                 Elaine Kahl

                       The Independent - Traveler Watchman  ( Southampton New York)

   The glass is half full thinkers , please click here!

 

To ensure y

The Essence of Leadership

The Essence of Leadership
(excerpt) by Mac Anderson

 

Understand The Soft Stuff

HERE’S A SECRET that gives competitive edge to any leader who understands it:
“The really hard stuff is the soft stuff…it’s building a culture around the feelings of your customers and your employees.”

I heard that for the first time a few years ago listening to Tom Asacker speak
about building a brand. For me, it was one of these “aha” moments that helped
put into focus the power of emotions when it comes to our behavior.

I heard another memorable quote along those lines not long ago: “You may not
remember what someone says or does, but you’ll never forget about how they
made you feel.”

This fits well with Asacker’s observation that often the customer doesn’t really
care about you or your company, but they do care about how your products and
services make them feel about themselves and the decisions they make.

Mary Kay Ash, the founder of Mary Kay cosmetics, built her highly successful
company around this essential concept-the power of recognition and “feelings.”
She said two things are more powerful than money and sex; those are…recognition
and praise.

Even after she became successful, when she would walk into a room she would
pretend that everyone in the room had a sign around their neck that said,
“Make me feel important.” We all want to feel important. No exceptions!

So, as a leader, do you truly understand that the really hard stuff is the soft
stuff? Are you building your culture around the feelings of your customers and
employees? Are you doing everything that you can to make them feel important?   SimpleTruths.com


       Seller Benefits
 
  • Value the business
  • Recommend proper terms and structure
  • Develop a marketing plan, and sourcing buyers
  • Screen and qualify potential buyers
  • Negotiate and structure a successful sale or other transaction
  • Assist the buyer in obtaining financing
     
    Buyer Benefits
     
  • Evaluate the buyer's goals
  • Formulate the buyer's acquisition criteria
  • Locate appropriate acquisition candidates
  • Evaluate acquisition candidates
  • Negotiate and structure a successful purchase or other transaction
  • Assist in obtaining financing

"The value of a man resides in what he gives and not in what he is capable of receiving". Albert Einstein

.

Tech Trends

Top Technology Trends in 2007

Technology eliminates many hurdles that have previously impeded the ability of small businesses to compete on a large scale. Today's most successful small businesses are using technology to solve administrative, security or technical challenges, using marketing partnerships to help generate new business, and using consultants to ease the accounting burden, thus enabling the core business to remain more focused on serving the needs of its customers and growing revenue.

Beyond maintaining a perfunctory website, the biggest must have for a modern small business is a search engine results maximization strategy. Companies that want to maximize their growth potential must make a serious commitment of time and their operating budget to ensure they are putting themselves in the best position possible to develop new business. Because millions of small businesses are introduced to new business opportunities outside of traditional word-of-mouth, companies need to dedicate a significant amount of resources to ensure a web presence with the appropriate placement and presentation.

Companies must pay close attention to the costs of organizational growth and the costs of generating new business. Many small businesses have turned to marketing partnerships to help generate leads and new business. Companies are outsourcing direct marketing and initial telesales leg work to organizations like Rainmaker Systems, hoping to maximize revenue and reduce the costs of lead generation.

Another must have is a way to manage corporate security. Small businesses cannot afford to be naïve when it comes to protecting their intellectual property and proprietary databases from former employees and competitors. Businesses must ensure the best possible informational safety and operational contingencies are in place and tested. The last thing an existing or new customer wants to hear is their order did not get fulfilled because their information was lost because the servers crashed. For a small business to feel secure means confidential information is completely protected and essential technology is backed-up.

Not every small business can afford to outsource financial accounting and other administrative aspects of managing the company. Some companies succeed using a combination approach -- doing what they do best and offloading that which is better left to outside experts. Because it is a fundamental part of running a business, it is generally a good idea for senior management to understand the company's finances intimately. Yet it makes sense to consult an outside expert who might be able assist in getting the accounting, reporting and compliance on the right track. Companies that are successful find the right cost/reward balance, allowing the business the time and resources to focus on revenue-geared core competencies of sales and customer service.

Any company, regardless of its size, should have a vision of what it needs to grow its business while managing the costs of doing business. If it is going to survive, every small business needs a solid plan for search engine results maximization, marketing to generate new business, maintaining corporate security, and maintaining financial integrity and product quality amidst growth.

Green chip stocks represent the most important stocks traded today, and they do so for one reason: They are the stocks that will be the catalyst for the first REAL profit trend of the 21st century. A profit trend that'll be worth more than $226 billion within 10 years!

(image) Chart

 

 

Commentary
Energy's Challenges
Daniel Yergin 04.23.07, 12:05 PM ET

 

The energy challenge certainly ranks at the top of the world’s agenda. What makes it particularly difficult to deal with is that it is created by two forces.

Though not usually put in these terms, one is globalization--and, in particular--the success of globalization. High growth rates, the emergence of large middle classes in countries like China and India, the continuing integration of the global economy--all this is powered by energy. To keep it going requires energy, lots of it.

But the second is the flip side, the consequences of the use of energy. Modern industrial societies have proved that--with willpower, innovation and capital--they are good at mitigating local and regional pollution. And they are continually getting better at it. But the build-up of carbon in the atmosphere is something else. Over the last year or two, a global consensus has come together that this is truly a global problem and that responding is urgent.

It is these cross-cutting concerns--the need for energy, and the need to manage the consequences of energy use--that are creating the energy challenge that will dominate the decades ahead. And the magnitude is daunting. Every day the global economy requires 86 million barrels of oil per day, and that is only 40% of the total daily world energy consumption.

With a challenge so large and so complex, it should not be surprising that there is no single answer. Nor even just a few. Some of the solutions are clearly on today's list; some will emerge as surprises. And, no doubt, some on which hopes are pinned today may, in the end, just not pan out. That is why Forbes.com's "Solutions" is so timely. Like other readers, I am keenly interested in seeing what participants with such different expertise and perspectives will offer and how they will rank the choices.

For starters, I will put three ideas on the table. But, before doing that, let us consider the scale of the enterprise. For it is not just the energy the world consumes today, but how much more it will consume in the future. At Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA), we've developed new energy scenarios out to the year 2030. The implications are daunting.

In a world of good economic growth, even with greater conservation, world energy demand grows by 75%. This reflects, more than anything else, the tremendous increase in automobile ownership and electricity consumption that will come with rising incomes.

Consumption grows the fastest in Asia, as it comes to represent over half of world GDP. In line with that, more than half of the total growth in oil demand will be in Asia, and two-thirds of the new electric power capacity. There’s nothing theoretical about this prospect. Over the past three years, China has added 200 gigiwatts of coal-fired electric power capacity--equivalent to 20% of the entire installed capacity of the United States.

Assuring that the energy supplies are there to underpin economic growth is, in itself, a big and expensive challenge. The International Energy Agency points to a $20 trillion price tag.

But how to meet these needs and, at the same time, cope with carbon? We will hear many ideas in the course of this roundtable, but let me point to three.

The first is a renewed emphasis on energy efficiency, whether in the established infrastructures of the U.S. and Europe, or in the ones that are now being built in China and India. Energy conservation, efficiency, savings--whatever you want to call it is--is a very large resource in itself. It is, without doubt, the biggest near-term way to reduce CO2. The United States is twice as energy efficient as it was in the 1970s. Why not double that again? China has made energy efficiency one of its top priorities, but implementing it is not proving easy. Expect more to come on this front.

The second is what I’ve taken to calling the "great bubbling." This is the surge in research and development and innovation that is now taking place all along the energy spectrum--whether in conventional sources or for renewables and alternatives. These research dollars--whether from government, industry, research organizations or the new entrant, venture capital--are adding up. If this level of commitment is maintained, the impact could be considerable, even dramatic. But the timing is not easily predicted. One of the imperatives is to continue to develop not just renewables, but the commercialization of renewables, which ultimately need to demonstrate that they are competitive in the marketplace.

The third is to push for the development of carbon capture and storage technologies. Though there is much hope for them, they are still at the early stages. Pilot efforts are underway. To have a major impact, these technologies will have to prove doable on a very large scale. A good deal of effort will also be required to figure out how to price and regulate such aspects as the sequestration of carbon underground.

We'll learn much from the discussion ahead. It will become clear how much--and how many different things--will have to be done meet this double challenge. Whatever the solutions, markets will be central, for they will bring forth the ingenuity and creativity to get things done and, hopefully, more quickly than would otherwise be the case.

Daniel Yergin is chairman of Cambridge Energy Research Associates, an IHS company. He received the Pulitzer Prize for his book The Prize: the Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power and is also the author of Commanding Heights: the Battle for the World Economy. He is writing a new book on energy and geopolitics.

 

Carbon Gas Is Explored as a Source of Ethanol

Published: April 24, 2007

SAN FRANCISCO, April 23 — A New Zealand company said Monday that it had secured financing from an investor in Silicon Valley to produce ethanol from an untapped source — carbon monoxide gas.

The company, LanzaTech, based in Auckland, said it had developed a fermentation process in which bacteria consume carbon monoxide and produce ethanol. Ethanol can be used as an alternative fuel or an octane-boosting, pollution-reducing additive to gasoline.

Sean Simpson, LanzaTech’s co-founder and chief scientific officer, said the company would use the $3.5 million investment from the venture firm, Khosla Ventures, to establish a pilot plant and perform the engineering work to prepare for commercial-scale ethanol production.

Vinod Khosla, a co-founder of Sun Microsystems who formed Khosla Ventures in 2004, has invested in more than a dozen start-ups involved in “clean fuel” technologies. He said in a telephone interview that LanzaTech stood out from the scores of proposals he sees each day for both its ability to scale up to industrial proportions and the credibility of the company’s founding scientists.

“When I passed it on to my partners for due diligence, the technology stood up to every test, and the intellectual property protection was awesome,” Mr. Khosla said.

Then, referring to the bacteria that are key to the process, he said, “The performance of the bugs was frankly mind-boggling to me, not something I would have expected from a tiny research effort in New Zealand.” He said his firm “sent the best process engineers we know to evaluate the technology and could it be industrialized, and the answer was yes.”

People have been using yeast to turn sugar into alcohol for thousands of years. Corn, the main source of ethanol in this country, provides carbohydrates that are easily broken into sugars.

LanzaTech’s innovation lies in using a bacterium to produce ethanol not from a carbohydrate, but from a gas, carbon monoxide. Carbon monoxide is a waste product of a number of industrial processes, including the production of steel.

“The feed stock of corn ethanol accounts for 60 percent of the cost, so we felt that the place to attack was to move away from a farmed crop,” said Mr. Simpson of LanzaTech. “We started to focus on high-volume industrial waste, which led to carbon monoxide. The steel industry globally makes around half a ton of carbon monoxide per ton of steel made.”

A spokesman for the American Iron and Steel Institute said that the industry does not monitor the total volume of carbon monoxide it produces, some of which is recycled and reused.

Regardless of how it is made or what it is made from, ethanol as a fuel has its detractors. Some plastics and rubber materials commonly used in fuel lines are degraded by ethanol, and depending on the blend of ethanol and gasoline, ethanol may raise levels of nitrogen oxides produced. Ethanol also contains less energy than an equivalent amount of gasoline, so mileage may be reduced.

For Mr. Khosla, the positives of ethanol fuel, including reduced pollution and freedom from oil dependence, far outweigh the negatives. “There are many more weapons in the war on oil than the narrow-minded folks who do prognostication imagine,” Mr. Khosla said. “Most of the action in energy is coming from biotechnology, and the most interesting work in biotechnology is energy.”

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